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In the development of technology, there is a predictable pattern to the development of that technology. First, there is a revolutionary event that enables the new technology. Then there is a period of years in which the major facets of the technology are researched until the science behind the technology work is well understood. (This is contrary to the belief that advances in pure science lead to new technologies; it's often the other way around.) Once the fundamentals are understood, there begins a period of rapid development, expanding the technology in profound ways. Finally, the technology has reaches a level of optimization in which further improvements are relatively minor. The technology has then reached the “mature stage.” It will remain in this stage with nothing more than small, incremental progress, until another revolutionary innovation restarts the development cycle. The development of aviation has been a textbook example of this development...
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